Twente vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 0
TWE
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
TWE
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
TWE
0 - 0
LEV
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TWE
3 - 0
FEY
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
2 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
2 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 1
ZWO
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
RKC
2 - 4
ZWO
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
14%
21%
66%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |