Twente vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
TWE
3 - 1
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 2
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 3
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 0
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
PSV
5 - 1
ZWO
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 3
RBC
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ZWO
1 - 1
GRO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |