Twente vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
GRO
6 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
3 - 1
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 3
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZWO
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
ZWO
0 - 3
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |