Twente vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
TWE
0 - 0
HFC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AZA
4 - 1
TWE
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
AND
2 - 0
TWE
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 1
TWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |