Twente vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 1
TWE
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 0
GAE
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
RJC
5 - 0
TWE
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 3
HER
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
VVV
1 - 1
TWE
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
DYN
4 - 1
UTR
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 1
BOS
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
HFC
3 - 0
UTR
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |