Twente vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
TWE
3 - 0
HEL
79%
15%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
FEY
2 - 0
TWE
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
WIL
1 - 0
TWE
29%
26%
44%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 6
AZA
30%
25%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
RJC
3 - 1
TWE
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
RJC
3 - 3
UTR
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 3
ZWO
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
PSV
0 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
UTR
0 - 3
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |