Twente vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
3 - 0
VOL
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
RJC
0 - 0
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
TWE
0 - 0
FEY
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 2
TWE
28%
25%
48%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
UTR
2 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
VVV
1 - 2
UTR
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 3
UTR
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |