Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
UTR
0 - 1
TWE
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
4 - 3
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
VVV
0 - 2
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
VVV
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |