Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
TWE
3 - 1
MVV
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 1
TWE
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
ZWO
1 - 1
TWE
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
TWE
3 - 1
HFC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 4
TWE
89%
8%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
HFC
5 - 5
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
VOL
1 - 3
EXC
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
EXC
4 - 0
RJC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |