Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
PSV
1 - 0
TWE
53%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 2
RJC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 2
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
WAG
0 - 1
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
GAE
3 - 0
TWE
21%
26%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |