Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
5 - 0
MVV
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 1
GAE
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
1 - 1
AMS
33%
30%
38%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
ADO
32%
31%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |