Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 8-4
Twente vs Eskişehirspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
HFC
0 - 4
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
ESK
3 - 2
TWE
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
SHS
0 - 0
TWE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 0
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Eskişehirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
ESK
1 - 0
TUR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
ESK
3 - 2
TWE
47%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 1
ESK
32%
32%
36%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ESK
2 - 0
KAR
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MER
0 - 0
ESK
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |