Europa League Last 16
Global 6-3
Twente vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
TWE
1 - 1
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1974 |
DUK
3 - 1
TWE
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
WAG
2 - 1
TWE
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
MOL
0 - 1
TWE
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1974 |
DUK
3 - 1
TWE
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
DUK
3 - 1
DJU
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
DJU
0 - 2
DUK
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
BEO
3 - 1
DUK
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DUK
2 - 2
BEO
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |