Europa League 1/32
Global 4-3
Twente vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 0
FEY
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
NEC
2 - 0
TWE
32%
30%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DTB
3 - 2
TWE
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
TWE
1 - 0
PSV
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 2
TWE
43%
29%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
DTB
3 - 2
TWE
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |