Europa League Final
Global 1-5
Twente vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
MON
0 - 0
TWE
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
RJC
2 - 1
TWE
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 1
AMS
72%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
JUV
0 - 1
TWE
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1975 |
KOL
1 - 2
MON
38%
24%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
MON
0 - 0
TWE
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
MON
5 - 1
STU
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
MON
1 - 0
KOL
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
HER
2 - 1
MON
25%
24%
52%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |