Twente vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
TWE
5 - 1
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
TWE
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRO
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 2
AZA
70%
17%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |