Twente vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
VOL
0 - 1
TWE
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 1
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
TWE
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 0
AZA
67%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
AZA
0 - 2
PSV
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
AZA
2 - 1
RKC
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1996 |
SPA
1 - 2
AZA
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |