Twente vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 1
GAE
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
FEY
3 - 0
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
TWE
3 - 1
AMS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1976 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |