Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
2º
4º
3º
56
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 2
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
TWE
0 - 1
FEN
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
FEN
5 - 1
TWE
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TWE
3 - 1
ZWO
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
TWE
25%
24%
50%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
LUD
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 4
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
69%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
72%
17%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |