Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
GRA
0 - 1
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 1
PSV
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
TWE
1 - 1
AZA
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 0
TWE
19%
27%
54%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
TWE
4 - 1
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
AJA
1 - 1
TEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1975 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
WAG
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
AJA
5 - 1
NAC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |