FC TVMK vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
TAM
0 - 1
TVM
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TVM
2 - 6
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
1 - 3
TVM
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
TVM
5 - 1
KUR
90%
8%
3%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
KUR
0 - 6
TVM
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLO
10%
17%
74%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 7
PAR
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 3
TUL
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 4
TAM
28%
27%
46%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TAM
3 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |