FC TVMK vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LOT
1 - 3
TVM
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2002 |
TVM
8 - 0
LOT
85%
10%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
TVM
0 - 1
DTB
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
0 - 6
TVM
12%
20%
68%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
TVM
0 - 4
LEV
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 1
TUL
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2002 |
TUL
3 - 0
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
0 - 6
TVM
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LEV
4 - 0
PAR
92%
6%
2%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |