Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
18º
15º
24
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
WAN
1 - 3
WIL
57%
19%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
BUC
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
6 - 1
PAL
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +5 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WIL
7 - 4
DNB
57%
19%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
WIL
79%
12%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
UTO
4 - 3
ATB
57%
19%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 0
UTO
87%
8%
4%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RUG
3 - 0
UTO
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UTO
1 - 1
WAN
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 0
UTO
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |