FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+190%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
15º
10º
15
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 79 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 78 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 64 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 61 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 58 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 54 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 53 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 42 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 27 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
EIM
6 - 0
WIL
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
5 - 3
BUC
36%
21%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 4
WIL
70%
15%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WIL
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
0 - 5
ETH
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 3
SAS
14%
17%
69%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
3 - 2
HAL
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DAS
4 - 0
SAS
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 2
WAN
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |