Tuapse vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuapse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DIN
5 - 1
FCT
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 3
SKA
10%
19%
71%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
FCT
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 1
DMK
16%
19%
66%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FOT
3 - 0
FCT
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
4 - 0
ROT
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DMK
3 - 0
CHE
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
FOT
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
FKK
0 - 3
CHE
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
5 - 0
ALA
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |