Töss vs Mels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Töss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TOW
1 - 4
CHU
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 2
TOW
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIN
6 - 2
TOW
72%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TOW
0 - 3
FRE
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
TOW
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 2
SIR
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SEU
2 - 2
MEL
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
ALT
60%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SVS
5 - 1
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
WID
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |