Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
6º
3º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 2
FTK
24%
28%
49%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
FTK
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 1
FTK
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FTK
5 - 0
SAB
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
DTB
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
DTB
25%
23%
53%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 1
SAM
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
5 - 0
SHU
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GAG
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |