Torpedo Kutaisi vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
2º
45
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 36 |
8º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
10º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
42% | 17.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
56.5% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FTK
4 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
FTK
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FTK
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FTK
1 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
STB
2 - 1
FTK
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
TEL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
5 - 2
GAR
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
SAB
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 3
PFC
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 0
SAB
16%
20%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |