FC Tokyo vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SHO
2 - 0
FCT
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 0
FUJ
89%
10%
2%
|
81 | 21 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 1
KAA
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 3
FCT
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 0
KAR
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
VVA
2 - 0
THE
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
RYK
1 - 2
VVA
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 3
VVA
18%
26%
57%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
VVA
1 - 0
KAG
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 0
FAG
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |