FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
17º
6º
62
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 71 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 67 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 60 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 58 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 56 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 54 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 54 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 52 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 51 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 50 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 48 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 47 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 47 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 43 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 42 |
17º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 40 |
18º
|
33% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 37 |
19º
|
47% | |
|
20º
|
25 | 32 |
20º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0.5% | 34.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
1.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CER
2 - 2
FCT
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SHO
0 - 1
FCT
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 0
FCT
41%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
URA
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAM
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
OIT
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GAM
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |