FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
OMI
0 - 3
FCT
30%
28%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
5 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
3 - 0
NAG
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIS
0 - 2
FCT
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
FCT
2 - 1
SHI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 1
JEF
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
URA
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
JUB
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
KYO
2 - 0
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 3
VIS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |