FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SHO
0 - 1
FCT
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 0
VEN
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCT
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 2
FCT
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 3
SAG
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAG
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAG
33%
26%
42%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
KAA
3 - 1
SAG
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAG
0 - 0
SHO
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |