FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
FCT
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 0
KAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
FCT
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FCT
6 - 2
VEG
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 2
FCT
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
5 - 4
KAW
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAA
29%
29%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FCY
1 - 0
SAG
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 1
URA
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |