FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
KAA
2 - 1
FCT
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 3
FCT
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
KYO
2 - 0
FCT
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
NAG
0 - 1
FCT
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 1
SAG
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAG
0 - 0
OIT
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
GIR
0 - 1
SAG
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAR
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GIF
0 - 1
SAG
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |