FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCY
3 - 2
FCT
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KAA
2 - 4
FCT
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAG
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
FCT
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 0
KAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
2 - 0
SHO
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 2
NAG
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 1
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
URA
1 - 0
NAG
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |