FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OMI
0 - 2
FCT
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FCT
0 - 0
CER
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
URA
1 - 0
FCT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 0
FCY
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
FCT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 0
JUB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 3
KAW
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 2
NAG
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
4 - 1
NAG
66%
18%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
SHI
1 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |