FC Tokyo vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.1%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
4 - 0
KAG
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TOK
0 - 2
FCT
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 0
GIR
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
3 - 0
YOK
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EHI
0 - 5
FCT
15%
25%
60%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
THE
0 - 1
FAG
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
2 - 4
SAG
19%
26%
55%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MIT
1 - 1
FAG
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAG
0 - 1
JEF
20%
26%
55%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SAG
6 - 0
FAG
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |