TIAMO Hirakata vs Yokogawa Musashino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
12º
11º
18
4º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 0
SON
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
TIA
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
TIA
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 4
HON
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
TIA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Yokogawa Musashino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 0
OSV
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
YOK
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
YOK
2 - 0
SUN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MIO
3 - 0
YOK
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 1
SON
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |