TIAMO Hirakata vs Minebea Mitsumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
12º
10º
15
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 62 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 50 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 44 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 34 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 23 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TIA
3 - 4
TCF
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
YOK
2 - 2
TIA
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
TIA
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 2
VEK
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
OSV
2 - 3
TIA
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Minebea Mitsumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HON
0 - 3
MIO
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
YOK
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
HON
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEK
2 - 0
HON
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HON
3 - 1
OSV
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |