FC Thun U15 vs Lausanne U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
9º
9º
42
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
5 - 1
THU
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THU
1 - 2
AFF
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 0
THU
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
SOL
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 2
THU
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lausanne U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
5 - 1
YOB
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 3
LAU
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
5 - 1
LCO
92%
7%
2%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AFF
1 - 3
LAU
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
SER
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |