FC Thun U15 vs BSC Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
68%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
9º
9º
33
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFF
3 - 1
THU
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
THU
29%
21%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LCO
0 - 5
THU
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BSC Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 4
LAU
36%
21%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
YOB
48%
21%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NEX
6 - 4
YOB
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 3
SIO
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |