FC Thun U15 vs AFF-FFV Fribourg U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
9º
9º
29
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 0
THU
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
SOL
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 2
THU
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THU
4 - 1
LCO
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AFF-FFV Fribourg U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AFF
5 - 5
SIO
73%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AFF
1 - 3
LAU
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NEX
3 - 2
AFF
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AFF
1 - 0
SOL
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |