Therwil vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LYS
7 - 0
FCT
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 3
ALL
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 0
FCT
50%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
2 - 1
FCF
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 2
FCT
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 4
ALL
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCF
0 - 1
MOU
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 3
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEX
2 - 0
MOU
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 5
MOU
15%
19%
67%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |