Therwil vs Oberdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 0
FCT
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
4 - 2
FCE
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MOU
6 - 1
FCT
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCT
2 - 1
LYS
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
FCT
61%
21%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oberdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
1 - 1
FCO
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 2
LYS
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCO
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 0
LIE
20%
21%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCO
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |