Therwil vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
3 - 3
FCT
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 2
LAU
37%
23%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALL
5 - 2
FCT
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 5
MOU
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 1
LYS
87%
9%
4%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
FCT
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NEX
5 - 0
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CON
5 - 0
LIE
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
4 - 5
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | -2 |