Therwil vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCW
3 - 1
FCT
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 4
FCC
18%
21%
61%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
1 - 5
LYS
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NEX
7 - 1
FCT
87%
10%
4%
|
11 | 67 | 56 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 2
CON
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 52 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
LYS
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
LAU
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NEX
3 - 0
COL
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 67 | 50 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 4
CON
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 4
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |