FC Thalwil vs Tägerwilen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
26
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 0
FCT
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 1
CHU
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
WID
3 - 4
FCT
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
FCT
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCA
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAG
3 - 1
DUB
17%
18%
66%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UST
1 - 1
TAG
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAG
2 - 3
SVS
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAG
1 - 2
CHU
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
5 - 3
TAG
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |