FC Thalwil vs Lachen/Altendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
42
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 3
FCT
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
FCR
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
FCT
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 3
WIL
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DSG
4 - 1
FCT
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Lachen/Altendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 4
DUB
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TAG
2 - 1
LAC
22%
20%
59%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LAC
0 - 4
SVS
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 1
LAC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LAC
5 - 1
FRA
42%
20%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |