FC Thalwil vs Frauenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
60
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCT
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 0
WID
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 3
LAC
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAZ
1 - 3
FCT
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
FCR
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Frauenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 3
DUB
71%
15%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TAG
3 - 4
FRA
17%
18%
65%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SVS
3 - 0
FRA
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 2
CHU
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
UST
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |