FC Thalwil vs Dardania St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
35
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
FCT
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UST
1 - 3
FCT
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 0
FCT
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 1
SVS
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +6 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 2
FCT
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dardania St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
DSG
3 - 3
DUB
44%
21%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
5 - 3
DSG
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
DSG
2 - 2
SVS
18%
19%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
DSG
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DSG
1 - 2
FRA
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |